The bullpen is what may make or break the Phillies chances at winning the NL East. The signing of Antonio Alfonseca likely means you can expect him in the later innings attempting to hand it over to the Phillies closer, Flash Gordon. Gordon saved 34 games in 39 tries last season, but broke down in September. Ryan Madson, Geoff Geary, and Fabio Castro you can also expect to see sitting in the bullpen collecting their checks. The problem that still remains in the Phillies bullpen is role definition. Alfonseca will start the year as the setup man, but will struggle at times and it’s unclear who will step up to get big outs in the late innings. My guess is probably good as Charlie Manuel’s at this point.
The Phillies lineup, especially their infield, is one of the best in the majors. In late ’05 and early ‘06, we saw shorstop Jimmy Rollins produce the longest hit streak in Phillies history. Last summer, Phillies fans saw another hit streak, this time 35 games by second baseman, Chase Utley. The duo combined for 57 home runs and set an NL record as the only middle infield teammates to hit 25 in the same season.
First baseman Ryan Howard, who just got a 900k raise to avoid arbitration (What’s another 100k between good friends?), is coming off an MVP season. Having won Rookie of the Year honors in 2005, he became only the second player to win both awards consecutively (Cal Ripken Jr.). If he can hit 58 home runs with 149 RBI again, the Phillies will be a force to reckon with. The problem with this becomes “protection.”
Pat Burrell is likely to be called upon for those duties, but his name is constantly on the trading and chopping blocks, for good reason. Expect Shane Victorino to replace Burrell when he gets benched, as well as provide speed at the top of the order and in the outfield. Aaron Rowand, the defensive specialist, provided the fans with some entertainment last season when he crashed into the centerfield wall and broke his nose while catching a line drive. He was plagued with injuries after that, never returning to true form. Look for newly signed free agents Wes Helms and Jayson Werth to provide much needed depth to the Phillies bench. Helms will likely split time with Abraham Nunez at third, while Werth may start if Burrell can’t keep his average over the Mendoza line.
The moral of this story is that Jimmy Rollins and Cole Hamels need to be confident, not cocky. Their faces and quotes are already on clubhouse bulletin boards in New York and Atlanta.
The bottom line is this: the Flyers and Sixers have no shot of providing a title to end Philadelphia’s drought this year, so expect the heat to come down on the Phillies. Myself included, Philly fans don’t want to wait until Eagles mini-camp to start talking championships.
On paper, the Phillies will win the East.
On paper, Communism is a great form of government.
Uh, oh…
2006: 85-77 (2nd in NL East)